Pre-tourney Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-18.1#349
Expected Predictive Rating-16.4#341
Pace65.4#276
Improvement+0.1#172

Offense
Total Offense-11.1#348
First Shot-11.7#351
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#127
Layup/Dunks-5.6#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#308
Freethrows-3.7#342
Improvement+1.6#101

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#335
First Shot-6.9#344
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-5.9#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement-1.5#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 30.0 - 5.00.0 - 10.0
Quad 46.0 - 11.06.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 121   @ Tulsa L 56-73 2%     0 - 1 -10.6 -10.2 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2018 142   @ Vanderbilt L 54-79 3%     0 - 2 -20.6 -17.3 -2.2
  Nov 18, 2018 141   @ Kent St. L 48-79 3%     0 - 3 -26.4 -25.2 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2018 90   @ Liberty L 54-76 2%     0 - 4 -13.8 -6.0 -11.7
  Nov 24, 2018 346   Savannah St. L 75-80 40%     0 - 5 -20.5 -10.2 -10.1
  Nov 26, 2018 20   @ Mississippi St. L 65-88 0.4%    0 - 6 -5.4 -1.5 -3.7
  Dec 18, 2018 147   @ UAB L 49-76 3%     0 - 7 -22.8 -16.1 -10.4
  Dec 21, 2018 120   @ South Florida L 44-83 2%     0 - 8 -32.6 -21.2 -12.8
  Jan 05, 2019 238   Texas Southern L 70-87 15%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -24.2 -11.9 -11.4
  Jan 07, 2019 234   Prairie View L 54-57 15%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -10.0 -21.5 +11.5
  Jan 12, 2019 328   @ Jackson St. L 52-59 19%     0 - 11 0 - 3 -15.8 -14.1 -2.5
  Jan 14, 2019 294   @ Grambling St. L 42-77 12%     0 - 12 0 - 4 -40.1 -31.8 -7.0
  Jan 19, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 63-57 61%     1 - 12 1 - 4 -15.0 -15.8 +1.0
  Jan 21, 2019 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-69 32%     2 - 12 2 - 4 -8.4 -0.6 -7.5
  Jan 26, 2019 334   @ Alabama St. L 59-74 21%     2 - 13 2 - 5 -24.8 -14.7 -10.9
  Jan 28, 2019 348   @ Alabama A&M L 62-71 32%     2 - 14 2 - 6 -22.2 -12.3 -10.0
  Feb 02, 2019 336   Southern W 76-64 43%     3 - 14 3 - 6 -4.4 +0.9 -4.5
  Feb 09, 2019 328   Jackson St. W 66-52 36%     4 - 14 4 - 6 -0.3 +1.6 +0.5
  Feb 11, 2019 294   Grambling St. L 53-65 24%     4 - 15 4 - 7 -22.6 -18.3 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley L 68-76 40%     4 - 16 4 - 8 -23.5 -12.7 -10.6
  Feb 18, 2019 320   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 62-73 17%     4 - 17 4 - 9 -18.9 -4.3 -16.3
  Feb 23, 2019 334   Alabama St. W 74-69 OT 39%     5 - 17 5 - 9 -10.3 -6.9 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2019 348   Alabama A&M W 61-55 52%     6 - 17 6 - 9 -12.8 -7.8 -4.0
  Mar 02, 2019 336   @ Southern L 46-61 24%     6 - 18 6 - 10 -25.8 -25.3 -2.4
  Mar 07, 2019 238   @ Texas Southern L 72-99 7%     6 - 19 6 - 11 -28.6 -9.9 -16.3
  Mar 09, 2019 234   @ Prairie View L 64-98 7%     6 - 20 6 - 12 -35.4 -13.3 -19.9
  Mar 12, 2019 234   @ Prairie View L 66-86 7%     6 - 21 -21.4 -6.3 -15.4
Projected Record 6.0 - 21.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%